Monday, 4 November 2019

NSE Currency Futures Report : 4th November 2019


Insignia Consultants
New Delhi
Monday, 04 November 2019
TIME 8:50AM IST                          

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NSE CURRENCY FUTURE DAILY REPORT

All the Indian economic data released last week suggest a slower growth. Rupee will gain against the US dollar only due to its global weakness and/or highest growth in a world of recession worry. Global investors believe that next year Indian economic growth will be on the higher side. They are investing in India and will continue to invest in India. In 2020, the Indo-Pak and Indo-China border situation, if it escalates, will affect Indian rupee trend. No one is thinking of a small war with China and Pakistan simultaneously. I am not ignoring it. Wars are fought on some pretext or other in economic recession and not in economic expansion. Chinese and Pakistani rulers can use war with India as a diversionary tactic from economic recession. Keep a close watch on border issues with the neighbours.
Indian stock market zoomed last week. This week will be real test for the bulls. If stock markets rise this week also, then rupee should fall below 70.00 against the US dollar in the inter-bank market. Big week for rupee. This will a data light week globally.
NSE CURERNCY FUTURE -- NOVEMBER FUTURE
US DOLLAR-INDIAN RUPEE Current Price
₹ 70.9725
S3
S2
S1

R1
R2
R3
₹ 70.5200
₹ 70.7463
₹ 70.8657

₹ 71.0793
₹ 71.1988
₹ 71.4250
EURO-INDIAN RUPEE Current Price
₹ 79.3100
S3
S2
S1

R1
R2
R3
₹ 78.8000
₹ 79.0550
₹ 79.1896

₹ 79.4304
₹ 79.5650
₹ 79.8200
UK POUND-INDIAN RUPEE Current Price
₹ 91.9550
S3
S2
S1

R1
R2
R3
₹ 91.3475
₹ 91.6513
₹ 91.8116

₹ 92.0984
₹ 92.2588
₹ 92.5625
JAPANESE YEN-INDIAN RUPEE Current Price
₹ 65.7800
S3
S2
S1

R1
R2
R3
₹ 65.0550
₹ 65.4175
₹ 65.6089

₹ 65.9511
₹ 66.1425
₹ 66.5050
All technical are for reference only

1.    USD/INR NOVEMBER 2019:  (a) Usd/inr needs to trade over 70.8650 to rise to 71.2275 and 71.4450.(b) Crash or sell off will be there below 70.8650.
2.    EURO/INR NOVEMBER 2019:  (a) It needs to trade over 79.0200 this week to rise to 79.9250 and 80.2450. (b) Crash will be there only below 79.0200.
3.    GBP/INR NOVEMBER 2019:  (a) Pound can rise to 92.3150 and 92.7175 this week as long as it trades over 91.5950. (b) Crash will be there below 91.5950 or in case 92.3150 is not broken.
4.    JPY/INR NOVEMBER 2019:  (a) It needs to trade over 65.6825 to rise to 66.0950 and 66.3975. (b) Crash will be there below 65.6825 to 65.4675 and 65.1625.
Low risk traders and day traders need to keep on booking profit on all trades with strict trailing stop loss. I will prefer to trade for intraday till Tuesday. Short term trading and short term investing is preferable only from Wednesday.
Disclaimer: Any opinions as to the commentary, market information, and future direction of prices of specific currencies, metals and commodities reflect the views of the individual analyst, In no event shall Insignia Consultants or its employees  have any liability for any losses incurred in connection with any decision made, action or inaction taken by any party in reliance upon the information provided in this material; or in any delays, inaccuracies, errors in, or omissions of Information. Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice. All analyses used herein are subjective opinions of the author and should not be considered as specific investment advice. Investors/Traders must consider all relevant risk factors including their own personal financial situation before trading. Websitewww.insigniaconsultants.in. Prepared by Chintan Karnani
Disclosure: Insignia consultants or it employees do not have any trading positions on the trading strategies mentioned above. Our clients do have positions on the trading strategies mentioned in the above report.
Insignia Consultants does not have any branches in India.
Insignia Consultants does not have any marketing agents in any city in India.
NOTES TO THE ABOVE REPORT
ALL VIEWS ARE INTRADAY UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED
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PLEASE NOTE: HOLDS MEANS HOLDS ON DAILY CLOSING BASIS
PLEASE USE APPROPRIATE STOP LOSSES ON INTRA DAY TRADES TO LIMIT LOSSES.
THE TIME GIVEN IN THE REPORT IS THE TIME OF COMPLETION OF REPORT
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