Wednesday 13 February 2019

Nse Currency Futures Report : 13th February 2019


Insignia Consultants
New Delhi
Wednesday, February 13, 2019
TIME: 9:23 am IST        
         
NSE CURRENCY FUTURES DAILY REPORT

Exporters will be using every rise to hedge their receivables as the rupee is below 71.00 against the US dollar. It remains to be seen how long the trend last. Election related spending boosts every nation’s economy. Global investors expect consumer spending in India to rise before the elections. Pro farmer policy is also expected to boost rural demand. Volatility will rise month the week progresses and month progresses. Short sellers need to be very careful.

US dollar-Indian Rupee 26th February 2019 future (usd/inr CMP 70.5575):
One Support: 70.2400
One Resistance: 70.7250
o     200 day moving average around 70.2400 is the key support.
o     Usd/inr needs to trade over 70.2400 till future close to rise to 70.9650 and 71.2700.
o     Crash or another wave of sell off will be there below 70.2400.
Euro/Indian Rupee 26th February 2019 Futures (Euro/inr CMP 80.1325):
One Support: 79.9650
One Resistance: 80.4000
o     Small sell off will be there below 79.9650.
o     Overall trend is down as long as euro/inr trades below 80.4000.
o     Use any 70-80 paisa fall (if any) to go long till future close with a stop loss below 79.1075.
UK Pound/Indian Rupee 26th February 2019 Futures (Gbp/inr CMP 91.1500):
One Support: 90.9450
One Resistance: 91.5325
o     Watch 91.000. This is the key long term support/resistance.
o     Gbp/inr can move 100-150 paisa either side from 91.0000.
o     (a) Crash will be there if gbp/inr trades below 91.0000 to 90.5100 and 89.7650. (b) In case gbp/inr trades over 91.0000, then chances of 91.8800 and 92.5275 in the short term will be very high.
Japanese Yen/Indian Rupee 26th February 2019 Futures (Jpy/inr CMP 63.8575):
One Support: 63.6000 (200 day moving average)
One Resistance: 64.1000 (100 day moving average)
o     Key long term support is at 63.4000.
o     At the moment trend is down. There can be very sharp pullback rallies as long as yen/does not fall below 63.4000 to 65.1400.
Disclaimer: Any opinions as to the commentary, market information, and future direction of prices of specific currencies, crypto currency, metals and commodities reflect the views of the individual analyst, In no event shall Insignia Consultants or its employees have any liability for any losses incurred in connection with any decision made, action or inaction taken by any party in reliance upon the information provided in this material; or in any delays, inaccuracies, errors in, or omissions of Information. Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice. Prepared by Chintan Karnani
NOTES TO THE ABOVE REPORT
PLEASE NOTE: HOLDS MEANS HOLDS ON DAILY CLOSING BASIS
ALL PRICES ARE IN INDIAN RUPEE UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED
Indian Standard Time (IST): +5:30 GMT
Current Market Price (CMP)
All foreign exchange prices are for inter-bank rates.
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